{"id":101846,"date":"2024-03-02T00:58:00","date_gmt":"2024-03-02T00:58:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/arielle.com.au\/?p=101846"},"modified":"2026-01-13T04:32:01","modified_gmt":"2026-01-13T04:32:01","slug":"what-is-the-bitcoin-halving","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/arielle.com.au\/what-is-the-bitcoin-halving\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Halving: What It Means And How It Works"},"content":{"rendered":"Reading Time: <\/span> 6<\/span> minutes<\/span><\/span>\n

Up to a million people worldwide are Bitcoin miners. Miners leverage computing power to verify transactions on the blockchain\u2019s network \u2014 one group of transactions, or \u2018block\u2019, at a time \u2014 to be eligible for rewards in the form of Bitcoin cryptocurrency. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The rewards are halved approximately every four years. Each subsequent halving reduces the amount of new Bitcoin tokens earned from the same level of mining activity.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(Related: Best Cryptocurrency Exchanges In Australia<\/a>).<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

That makes mining more costly and theoretically controls Bitcoin’s supply, which many investors believe signals an imminent rise in its value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Let\u2019s explore how Bitcoin halving works and how previous Bitcoin halvings affected cryptocurrency prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n
Key Takeaways<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
A Bitcoin halving <\/strong>event happens after 210,000 blocks are added to the Bitcoin blockchain.<\/td><\/tr>
The halving increases<\/strong> the scarcity of Bitcoin by cutting mining rewards in half and reducing the rate at which new coins are added into circulation.<\/td><\/tr>
Fiat currency<\/strong> can be deflated by printing more of it. The supply of Bitcoin is fixed and immutable, theoretically making it immune to inflation.<\/td><\/tr>
The halving increases<\/strong> Bitcoin’s scarcity by cutting mining rewards in half and reducing the rate at which new coins are added to circulation.<\/td><\/tr>
The most recent<\/strong> halving happened between April 20 and 23 back in 2024.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
<\/div>\n\n\n\n

What Is The Bitcoin Halving?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

The Bitcoin blockchain was designed to have a total supply of 21 million Bitcoin tokens, which would be gradually created, or \u2018mined\u2019, by computers that are part of its distributed network.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These computers may be run by individuals or organisations operating mining farms.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Professor Daniel Schlagwein<\/a> of the University of Sydney said: <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cBitcoin mining is a process of keeping the Bitcoin network running, so you could compare it to being rewarded for running internet infrastructure.\u201d<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

The process of creating each \u2018block \u2019\u2014 which entitles a miner to some Bitcoin \u2014 takes about 10 minutes. After every 210,000 blocks, the amount of crypto mining revenue awarded to successful miners is reduced by 50%, which happens approximately every four years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The last such halving took place in mid-April 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/path><\/path><\/svg><\/div>

Did You Know?<\/h3><\/div>

There have been three prior halvings in Bitcoin\u2019s history – in 2012, 2026, and 2020. When Bitcoin was first created, miners received 50 BTC as a reward for verifying a new block, and after that figure is halved for the fourth time this year, the reward will be reduced to 3.125 BTC.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

How Much Bitcoin Supply Is Left?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin’s supply is algorithmically fixed at 21 million tokens.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As of today, there are about 1.4 million Bitcoins yet to be mined.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

While Bitcoin was first created in 2009, and over 93% of the tokens have been mined in the 15 years since \u2014 due to the halving process, it\u2019s expected the remaining supply won\u2019t be fully mined for over 100 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So, the final Bitcoin may not be mined until the year 2140.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The pseudonymous founder\/s of Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto, wanted Bitcoin to mimic a finite resource like gold, where the supply dwindles over time and therefore, becomes more valuable. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nakamoto wrote in their original white paper<\/a>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cThe steady addition of a constant of amount of new coins is analogous to gold miners expending resources to add gold to circulation. In our case, it is CPU time and electricity that is expended.\u201d<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Once all Bitcoin is in circulation, miners\u2019 incentive to keep verifying blocks will come from fees taken from transactions on the network.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/path><\/path><\/svg><\/div>

Did You Know?<\/h3><\/div>

Bitcoin mining equipment requires a lot of electricity to operate. According to the Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance (CCAF),\u00a0the Bitcoin network consumes\u00a0around 110 Terawatt Hours annually. This translates to 0.55% of worldwide electricity production.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

How Does The Halving Affect Bitcoin\u2019s Price?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Since its inception, the scarcity of Bitcoin has been a key design feature lauded by believers as critical to driving its price and making it inflation-resistant by slowly reducing supply relative to demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

An analysis by BitPay<\/a> posits that halvings have sometimes led to bull runs, with peaks reached approximately 18 months afterwards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This graph illustrates Bitcoin price upswings following halving events:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Important: past performance is no indication of future results.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But there\u2019s an unclear causal relationship between when halvings occur and a subsequent rise in the price of Bitcoin \u2014 because a huge range of factors influences markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

After the last halving occurred in May 2020, Bitcoin\u2019s price rose around 12% the following week, but remained below US$10,000. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Later that year, Bitcoin began a sustained rally that saw its price climb to over US$63,000 by April 2021.<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Was it the halving\u2019s effect, or factors such as expansionary monetary policies during COVID and the huge uptick in activity by retail investors in lock-down who had extra time and discretionary spending on their hands?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

(Related: Ultimate Guide To Investing In Shares For Beginners<\/a>).<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Does Bitcoin’s Scarcity Impact Its Price?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Bitcoin\u2019s scarcity has seen it described as digital gold \u2014 a type of \u2018safe haven\u2019 asset class that provides a long-term store of value that\u2019s resistant to turbulence in other markets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BlackRock CEO <\/em>Larry Fink said<\/em><\/a>: \u201cIt is an asset class that protects you. But unlike gold, where we manufacture new gold, we\u2019re almost at the ceiling of the amount of bitcoin that can be created.\u201d<\/em><\/span><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

As the world\u2019s largest asset manager, BlackRock has a vested interest in more investors viewing BTC as a legitimate asset.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

US regulators approved eleven spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs)<\/a> offered by major firms like BlackRock, Grayscale and VanEck in January 2024.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This means that retail investors can buy into BTC via familiar online share trading platforms, avoiding the hassle of a digital wallet and protecting private keys. Since the ETFs started trading, there\u2019s been record inflows and trading volume<\/a>, with total net inflows now at over US$12 billion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Institutional adoption of Bitcoin was the major reason for Bitcoin\u2019s recent price rally to an all-time-high of over US$73,000 in March 2024. But it quickly lost ground again is currently sitting around the US$63,000 mark.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/path><\/path><\/svg><\/div>

Important!<\/h3><\/div>

Improved investor access may be the most critical driver of BTC price action.<\/p><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

UK Bank Standard Chartered recently increased its year-end forecast for the price of Bitcoin from $100,000 to $150,000. The bank\u2019s analysis<\/a> focused on how gold prices moved following the introduction of gold ETFs in the US.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“We think the gold analogy \u2013 in terms of both ETF impact and the optimal portfolio mix \u2013 remains a good starting point for estimating the \u2018correct\u2019 BTC price level medium-term,” Standard Chartered said.<\/em><\/span><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

However, the European Central Bank warned<\/a> it could be a flash in the pan, stating: <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cWhile in the short run the inflowing money can have a large impact on prices irrespective of fundamentals, prices will eventually return to their fundamental values in the long run. And without any cash flow or other returns, the fair value of an asset is zero.\u201d<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n
<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Is Now A Good Time To Invest In Bitcoin?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Cryptocurrency is a risky investment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nobody really knows how crypto markets will behave and there\u2019s no objective way to assess the value of Bitcoin or forecast its future value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In an interview this March, Bank of America\u2019s Chief Investment Strategist Michael Hartnett warned<\/a> the optimism surrounding Bitcoin and large cap tech stocks like \u2018The Magnificent Seven\u2019 was \u2018bubble-like\u2019, considering macroeconomic conditions in the US were looking ominous. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

He said markets were front-running the Fed\u2019s stated intention to cut rates this year, yet it seems apparent that inflation will remain stuck between 3 and 4%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cSo that backdrop of inflation coming in a little higher than expected and growth coming in a little weaker than expected, that\u2019s normally not good for risk assets, but if risk assets say \u2018We don\u2019t care, we\u2019ve got AI and all this sort of stuff,\u2019 that is very symptomatic of bubble mentality,\u201d he said.<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n
<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Why Are Investors Rotating From Bitcoin To Altcoins?<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Some pundits argue that the halving event presents a better opportunity to make profits from investments in altcoins (\u2018alternative coins\u2019 encompasses all tokens other than Bitcoin).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That\u2019s because many altcoins are available at low prices (compared to Bitcoin).<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

By investing in altcoins that benefit from Bitcoin-buoyed price action \u2014 the rise in value can be more substantial than the percentage gains you could expect from holding Bitcoin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pantera Capital\u2019s analysis<\/a> shows Bitcoin tends to outperform in the early part of a bull market rally, while altcoins tend to outperform in later stages and to a degree that exceeds Bitcoin\u2019s growth across the full length of the cycle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201cOur thesis is that altcoins underlying protocols that have product market fit and are generating real revenues with strong unit economics will perform best in the coming cycle, just as one would expect across other asset classes like equities.”<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n
<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Final Word On The 2024 Bitcoin Halving.<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Whether Bitcoin\u2019s halving mechanism makes the crypto the ultimate store-of-value asset is debatable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Many economists would argue that investors\u2019 collective belief<\/em> in the value of Bitcoin drives its market price, more than its limited supply or any particular real-world utility.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

As the original crypto and largest token by market share, Bitcoin has long dominated the cryptocurrency sphere and has subsequently become less volatile and increasingly appealing to speculative investors motivated by sentiment.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Either way, given there\u2019s a widespread view that the cryptocurrency market is in the early stages of a bull run \u2014 it stands to reason that increased attention drawn by the halving could contribute to a lift in BTC\u2019s value. But who knows to what extent and for how long?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n\n\n\n

Jody<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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